Indian Thought Latest News & Views
New Delhi: It is a matter of relief for the Bharatiya Janata Party, which is facing criticism due to farmers’ agitation, Lakhimpur incident and inflation, that it still seems to be winning the Uttar Pradesh elections. There is assembly election in Uttar Pradesh next year and in the survey, once again BJP government is being formed there. The people of UP have once again expressed their trust in the BJP, but the mood of the public has changed a lot in November as compared to September-October. In the latest survey, BJP seems to be in power again, but it is seeing a big loss of seats. Comparing the survey of September, October and November, even though the saffron party seems to be winning in Uttar Pradesh, the BJP’s graph has seen a big decline in these three months. Whereas SP seems to be benefiting a lot. So let us understand how much the mood of the public has changed since September.
In Uttar Pradesh, BJP is getting 213 to 221 seats and Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party is getting 152-160 seats. BSP can get 16 to 20 seats, Congress 6 to 10 seats and others 2 to 6 seats. In the last election, BJP got 325 seats and SP got 48 seats, while BSP got 19 and Congress got seven seats. Talking about the disadvantages and advantages, the BJP is losing about a hundred seats. Whereas the Samajwadi Party seems to be benefiting from the same number of seats. Under the leadership of Priyanka, the wonder of Congress is not visible in the survey. On the other hand, if we talk about vote percentage, then BJP is expected to get about 41 percent vote share. This is a little less than 2017. SP is expected to get 31 per cent and BSP 15 per cent votes. Congress seems to be getting 9 per cent votes. Here the SP seems to be benefiting, as Akhilesh Yadav’s party got only 23.6 percent votes in the last election.
In Uttar Pradesh, the BJP was seen getting 41 per cent votes, while Samajwadi Party was expected to get 32 per cent, Bahujan Samaj Party 15 per cent, Congress 6 per cent and others 6 per cent. At the same time, in terms of seats, in the October survey, 241 to 249 seats were seen going in BJP’s account. The share of the Samajwadi Party was estimated to get 130 to 138 seats. At the same time, BSP was seen between 15 to 19 and Congress between 3 to 7 seats.
In Uttar Pradesh, BJP was seen getting 259 to 267 seats, while Akhilesh Yadav’s Samajwadi Party was seen getting 109-117 seats. BSP was seen getting 12-16 seats, Congress 3-7 seats and others 6-10 seats. At the same time, in terms of vote percentage, the BJP alliance was expected to get around 42 percent, Samajwadi Party alliance 30 percent, Bahujan Samaj Party 16 percent, Congress 5 percent and others 7 percent.
If we compare the survey of September, October and November, then the BJP is currently seeing a loss of about 40 to 50 seats. That is, in September, where the BJP seemed to get 259 to 267 seats in UP, now in the November survey, the BJP seems to be getting only 213 to 221 seats. This means that between September and November, the mood of the people of UP has changed towards the BJP. If we compare the vote percentage, where BJP was getting 42 per cent votes in September, it is seen getting 41 per cent in November’s survey. That is, a drop of one percent. In October also the vote percentage was 41. If we talk about the Samajwadi Party, then in the survey, this party seems to be getting a big advantage. In September, the SP was seen getting 109 to 117 seats, but in the November survey, it is seen getting 152 to 160 seats. That is, the SP is seeing an advantage of about 40 seats in comparison to September.
In the current survey i.e. for the month of November, BJP seems to be getting 213 to 221 seats. That is, BJP is seeing a loss of about 100 seats. At the same time, the SP seems to be gaining about a hundred seats. Let us inform that in the 2017 assembly elections, BJP got 325 seats and SP got 48 seats. The BSP had won 19 seats and the Congress seven. The BJP’s graph has dropped even more in November as compared to the September survey.
